Free picks for Philadelphia Park - Monday November 26, 2007

Race 2: #7 MISTER ALI
Race 5: #8 PURIFIED

Race 1 ————————-
Trifecta: 4 / 1-2-5 / All
#4 Goodman’s girl has improved slowly but surely each time out and will definitely be in this. The other horses do have more racing experience however, but the numbers (usually) don’t lie. Nonetheless, I hate trying to handicap maiden races, haha.

Race 2 ————————-
Trifecta: 1-8 / 1-2-8 / 1-2-3-6-8
Plenty of good horses and there may be some good value here tomorrow. This one is a toughy!

Race 3 ————————-
Trifecta: 3-4 / 3-4-6 / 3-4-5-6
Interesting to note that #6 Czech the Dox has been on a straight climb upward within regards to his speed figures, but his most recent race of a $15,000 claimer, he threw his best number and still finished 5th. Is this a horse that doesn’t want to win or is a class drop to $10,000 a perfect fit? I’m sticking with the #4 Genie On the Move as my pick for this race. He’s been in some big Allowance races and should be in the run for the money here. Philly is tough today!

Race 4 ————————-
Trifecta: 2-3-4 / 2-3-4 / 2-3-4-6

Race 5 ————————-
Trifecta: 1-5 / 1-2-5 / All
I wouldn’t expect too much value in this one. I can’t really argue with the fourth place finish of the #5 Tale of the Diva in a $60,000 stake race either.

Race 6 ————————-
Trifecta: 1-2-3 / 1-2-3 / 1-2-3-4
This is an easy race to break things down into picking a winner, but it’s going to be the potential second and more than likely third place horses that will mess up exotics.

Race 7 ————————-
Trifecta: 1-2-4 / 1-2-4-5 / 1-2-4-5-6
I realize that this is a somewhat expensive bet, so if you would like to play a little bit on the cheaper side, possibly exacta box any three of those horses or a tri box as well. Have I mentioned how much I’m not liking Philly’s races today?

Race 8 ————————-
Trifecta: 1-4-7 / 1-4-7 / 1-3-4-7
The #1 Knight in Flight is a “jumpy” horse in my mind. Previous trainer Martin D. Wolfson must have certainly thought something good of him though after entering him into a G3 event where he ran 8th (respectively, I think). This is a horse that could straight up win, or run dead last. The #7 Favalora jumped out at me when I looked at his highest beyer (94) which was ran at Philly in a race which was more or less the same as this one tomorrow (OC 32k/N4X - Jan-16-07), nonetheless he ran 2nd and was followed two lengths behind by #2 Stormy Price.

Race 9 ————————-
#4 Artic Thunder
Morning line has this horse at 15-1 and according to the way I run numbers, he certainly has a shot. Consider it my “longshot” pick of the day at Philly. Best of luck to everyone in tomorrow’s races.

Race 2 ————————-
#2 To The Crowd
Trifecta: 2 / 6-7-8 / 6-7-8

Race 3 ————————-
Trifecta: 1-9 / 1-5-7-9 / 1-5-7-9

Race 4 ————————-
Trifecta: 5-7 / 1-5-6-7 / 1-5-6-7
I love the #6 Maribels Graygirl who was performing mediocre in Tampa and then jumped over to Philly and won nicely.

Race 5 ————————-
Trifecta: 2-4-5 / 2-4-5 / 2-3-4-5
Not the easiest race, I’ll tell you that.

Race 1 —————————
1st Place: #7 Family Project
Analysis: Take your pick here.

Race 2 —————————
1st Place: #1 Nasdaq Queen
2nd Place: #5 Shelly Has Money

Race 3 —————————
1st Place: #3 Our Launch Ticket

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